News Analysis

‘Alligator mouth’ school spending gobbles property tax, hungers for more

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by VDC staff

The slow pace of Vermont’s education transformation is coming into sharper focus at the Statehouse, as lawmakers wrestle with redistricting maps, rising costs, and mounting property tax pressure.

At the center of the debate is Act 73, a sweeping 2025 education reform law designed to overhaul the way Vermont funds and governs its public schools. The law mandates a shift to a “foundation formula” and directs a task force to propose maps consolidating Vermont’s current patchwork of districts into between 10 and 20 larger “mega-districts” serving up to 8,000 students each.

But that mandate has run aground – at least for now.

Map-making stalls, then restarts

The task force charged with drawing the new district boundaries declined to produce any maps. In response, House Education Chair Rep. Peter Conlon, D-Cornwall, introduced a compromise proposal reorganizing the state into roughly 27 unified districts, each serving between 2,000 and 4,000 students.

Both House and Senate committees reviewed the conceptual map this week, reopening a conversation that has proven politically fraught.

The Vermont Agency of Education has argued that larger districts are necessary to achieve the efficiencies envisioned by Act 73 — including better access to specialized staff, more consistent curriculum offerings, and stronger in-district special education services. Smaller districts, the agency contends, may not deliver enough scale to meaningfully bend the cost curve.

But legislators report widespread public resistance. Much of the opposition centers on concerns about losing local control and community identity. Some lawmakers have floated hybrid governance models that would allow supervisory unions and consolidated districts to coexist, though no consensus has emerged.

Budget pressure: the “Alligator Mouth”

While lawmakers debate district lines, fiscal pressures continue to mount.

The House Ways and Means Committee reviewed preliminary fiscal year 2027 school budgets showing projected net education spending growth of 4.1 percent — lower than earlier estimates but still significant. At the same time, offsetting revenues are projected to decline by 2.2 percent, in part because federal pandemic-era funds are running out.

The Department of Taxes has described the dynamic as an “alligator mouth” problem: Education Fund costs are growing at roughly 6 percent annually, while non-property tax revenues such as sales and use taxes are growing at closer to 3 percent.

Absent structural reform, analysts say property taxes would need to grow by about 7 percent annually to keep the Education Fund balanced.

Property tax relief and the yield bill

The House Ways and Means Committee is now working through the annual “yield bill,” which sets the property tax rates necessary to fund education.

One proposal under discussion is a one-time $104.9 million transfer from the General Fund to blunt immediate tax increases.

Lawmakers are also debating expanded property tax credits for income-eligible Vermonters. Currently, the income sensitivity threshold is set at $90,000 in household income — down from $138,500 in fiscal year 2020. Over the same period, education property taxes have risen by more than 40 percent.

Committee members expressed concern that households earning between $90,000 and $150,000 are being squeezed by overlapping fiscal pressures, including rising property taxes and other state policy changes.

Targeting second homes for more revenue

In search of longer-term revenue solutions, lawmakers are advancing a proposal to split the “nonhomestead” property tax category into two classifications: residential and nonresidential.

The residential category would target second homes and short-term rentals, while nonresidential would include businesses and long-term rental properties. Much of the debate has focused on how to define “long-term rental” and “employee housing,” particularly to protect farmworker housing and resort employee units.

Details are expected to hinge on a new annual “dwelling use attestation” form property owners would be required to file.

Capping future spending

Meanwhile, the Senate Finance Committee is reviewing S.220, a proposal to temporarily cap education spending growth in fiscal years 2028 and 2029. The bill would impose a “dual test” limit, allowing districts to increase spending only by a formula-based percentage or by inflation, whichever is greater.

Supporters describe the cap as a bridge to the eventual foundation formula required under Act 73, offering short-term taxpayer relief while longer-term reforms take shape.

Budget deadline looms

Hovering over the entire debate is Gov. Phil Scott, who has made clear he will not sign the state budget without a finalized district map under Act 73.

That ultimatum effectively ties the end of the legislative session to agreement on redistricting — a task that has already proven politically and logistically complex.

Includes information sourced from Lake Champlain Chamber weekly newsletter.


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Categories: News Analysis

7 replies »

  1. It looks like there progress being made on how to address the educational property tax crisis on the short term with adjustments to a type of foundation plan and cap on increases.

    A new map that reduces the number of the current 52 supervisory unions to roughly 15 administrative units in line with our career and technical centers would be the best way to save money in the long run. Rural schools are vital to their communities, have been shown not to cost more and should not be consolidated without community approval. Keep the local school districts and consolidate the supervisory unions.

  2. Yep, here we go again, rearranging the deck chairs. “We need more tax money to help the kids”, is the battle cry. Here’s an idea. Why don’t we address the issue at its core? Why do costs continue to rise while education scores continue to plummet and enrollment continues to decline, year after year after year? Please, keep kicking the can down the road. Yeah, that will solve it.

    • A few years ago, they were PAYING People to move to Vermont. Now they are crying we need more Housing. South Burlington City Council just issued a Resolution restricting activity by ICE and Border Patrol in the city. This, in my book, is a “Welcome Mat” for non-legals to come to VT/So Burlington!

      I’m not sure how this will, now, and in the future, affect the School Enrollment and curriculum needed, but, I personally don’t think this was a good idea! My feeling is, it’s a strategic tactic by the Democrats and Progressives to gain a larger voter base for their future “power grabs” in the Legislature.

  3. Referencing Alligators: An alligator sport in the south, when in season. For your entertainment this Sat AM. Note, Walmarts sell alligator meat. There are many recipes. I’ve been fishing on the Swanee River in Chiefland FL at night. Flashing a light beam over the water, many eyes reflect back. They didn’t bother. I’ve helped pullin9 8 foot Gater out of a deep hole that he fell into and tried to get out. Claw marks ion the wall, He didn’t like us as we pulled him out, made a low growling hissing noise. Got him out and he fell into another hole and died. A male for sure, looking for the opposite, near the Swanee. There are many videos and a channel on TV has shows about harvesting Gaters, some quite violent. Red Neck Hunters.
    This video gives a sample.
    Alligator as big as the boat! {Catch Clean Cook} protecting the local kids!
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pO8dBlwgd2s (23:18)

    Also have many wild hogs, seen them, and videos and TV. They can outrun a horse. The meat is considered very good.

  4. So, if, “The task force charged with drawing the new district boundaries declined to produce any maps,” where did the $100,000 allotted to the “force” end up going? Just paying for lunches and gas? Clearly they didn’t put anything to pencil and paper.

  5. The pattern I’ve been observing within our legislature (for far too long) is always “how can we extract more $$$ from taxpayers” NEVER “how can we improve efficiency and spend less money”. So opposite from what the taxpayers have to do, sure we may seek to increase our revenue, but we don’t rack up debt and spending like tomorrow will never come. At least I don’t.

  6. This thread is all about tinkering with the failed schooling business we’ve let the government run for us…at extreme ever-increasing cost. Wouldn’t be better to stop confiscating all these funds and trying to pretend we’re getting good value for our money? An educated citizenry is a noble quest but the government needn’t run the schooling business. It must occur to us that it might be better if we gave the education of kids back to families. Let them do business with teachers for the curriculum and services they want.