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Several Dem candidates back away from Clean Heat Standard fuel price increases

Estimates would add up to $1000 per oil tank fill-up

By Guy Page

Faced with estimates that the Clean Heat Standard will add between $1.88 and $4.01 to a gallon of heating oil, at least three Democrat candidates for the Vermont Senate and one influential House vice-chair have gone on record as opposing these increases – but not the underlying bill or the process of transitioning away from fossil fuel heat.

Using the $4/gallon benchmark, implementation of the Clean Heat Standard would add $1000 to every fill-up of a 250 gallon heating oil tank. The average home consumes about 750 gallons of heating oil every year. 

The consulting firm NV5 developed the study, titled “Clean Heat Standard Assessment of Thermal Sector Carbon Reduction Potential in Vermont,” for the Vermont Department of Public Service, which released it on September 1. The Legislature must vote again on the Clean Heat Standard, including its cost to Vermonters, before it is implemented. 

Sen. Thomas Chittenden, D-Chittenden County, said in a Facebook post he would limit any increase to 20 cents per gallon, and warned against the dire consequences of too much ‘incentive’ to force Vermonters to stop burning fossil fuels: “Vermont cannot bankrupt our rural citizens with this market-based scheme to incentivize weatherization and electrification.  Because that bankruptcy will either drive people to move to states that don’t have this heating cost fee or it means they may freeze to death when they try saving money by not turning on the furnace in February.”

In response to Chittenden’s statement, GOP nominee for Chittenden senate seat Bruce Roy told VDC in an email today: “That statement is true now as it was during the last two legislative sessions. Yet, Senator Chittenden and his supermajority colleagues insisted on not only just passing the “Affordable Heat Act”/Clean Heat Standard and the Renewable Energy Standard, but doing so by overriding Governer Scott’s common sense vetoes in each case. The supermajority also chose to reject an amendment to S5/Act 18 that would have capped increases to the price of heating fuels AND ignored thousands of voters’ pleas not to pass this regressive Carbon Tax.” 

Rep. Katherine Sims (D-Craftsbury), running for Orleans County Senate, voted No on the VDC CHS Survey (see below) and emailed VDC this morning: “I supported the Affordable Heat Act for this review, but I’m deeply concerned about potential costs, especially for rural Vermonters. Early estimates suggest that fuel prices could rise by $1 to $4 per gallon, which is unsustainable for working families. We need solutions that reduce emissions, but not at the expense of making life unaffordable for Vermonters. If the proposed Clean Heat Standard drives up costs or puts rural households at risk, I will not support it.’

GOP Orleans senate seat nominee Sam Douglass said of Sims’ No vote on the VDC survey: “Rep. Katherine Sims had been fully supportive of the Clean Heat Standard up until the moment she decided to run for Senate, and the same holds true for a number of her votes, including her votes on the property tax increase. She voted in favor of every version of the Clean Heat Standard in 2022 and 2023, including twice siding against the Governor in his vetoes. All of the legislators were warned of its extreme cost, but she voted in favor regardless.”

Douglass said his position is more in line with longtime incumbent Sen. Robert Starr than is Sims’: “I will also take this opportunity to point out that Senator Bobby Starr voted against the Clean Heat Standard, both on the floor and sided with the Governor on his vetoes.”

Sen. Chris Bray (D-Addison), Chair, Natural Resources & Energy Committee: “I, for one, am not interested in building a program that adds $1.70 to a gallon of heating fuel,” Bray said in a VTDigger news story published at 4 PM, hours after VDC and Roper. “That would be a real problem for many Vermonters.” Bray told Digger he’ll be working all fall to build a more palatable Clean Heat Standard.

VDC this morning emailed all members of both the House and Senate energy committees seeking re-election if they would support a Clean Heat Standard with the estimated cost increases. As of 11:24 AM, one legislator has responded. 

Rep. Laura Sibilia (I-Dover), vice-chair, House Natural Resources & Energy Committee, emailed VDC this morning: “Regarding the Act 18 check back report, the legislature has at least three avenues to consider: we can do nothing, pass the report as it stands, or leverage the ongoing modeling and technical work to make amendments that better serve the people of Vermont.

“It is frankly absurd to suggest that legislators would willingly support such significant increases in fuel costs. The projected hikes mirror the unaffordable burdens that Vermonters have already faced due to price surges from the fossil fuel industry since 2020.

“In light of the volatility in global heating fuel prices and the ongoing energy transition, I believe it would be irresponsible for the legislature to take no action.”

Sen. Tom Chittenden’s Facebook comment, verbatim – 

A year and a half ago, I voted for S.5 – the Affordable Heat Act.  I did so because of a very important provision called the ‘CheckBack’ which required the bill to come back to the legislature in January 2025 with more information about what this program might cost Vermonters to achieve our Global Warming Solutions Act emissions reduction targets in our heating sector.

Over the past two months, I have stated in multiple Candidate surveys that I would only support implementing the Affordable Heat Act if the cost to Vermonters heating our homes was somewhere south of 20 cents per gallon and if it had tax rate controls related to the cost per gallon (so that the tax would be less when the price is high and slightly more when the selling price is lower). 

Based on the information that came out this month from the analysis called for in the bill, I am alarmed at what this contemplated solution might cost Vermonters, especially rural Vermonters, to meet our current emission reduction targets.  I absolutely believe the climate crisis is an existential threat to our way of life and to the future our kids are inheriting.  I simultaneously recognize the limit of influence that the State of Vermont has on addressing this crisis.   

Vermont cannot bankrupt our rural citizens with this market-based scheme to incentivize weatherization and electrification.  Because that bankruptcy will either drive people to move to states that don’t have this heating cost fee or it means they may freeze to death when they try saving money by not turning on the furnace in February. 

The estimates I am seeing from the just released potential study project the cost to range between $1 to $4 per gallon to reach the current targets.  Voters wanted to know why I voted for this 18 months ago and I told them. They also want to know if I would vote to move the clean heat standard forward at these cost estimates. The simple answer to that question is No.  If re-elected this fall, I will not vote to implement the Affordable Heat Act if it will skyrocket fuel costs for working Vermonters at the prices contemplated in this potential study. 

A solution at the scale of global warming must be done at regional or national level – Vermont cannot solve this crisis alone.  Our economy and our population is just too small to have a meaningful effect and us acting as if in a vacuum will not work because we just aren’t in one.

Rep. Katherine Sims’ response to VDC, verbatim –

First, I’d acknowledge that it’s hard to answer a question about a hypothetical. As you know, the reports are just coming back now, and there isn’t a draft bill for consideration yet. Since it’s just a hypothetical without any specific policy proposals to react to, here’s what I can say: 

The cost of fossil fuels is increasingly unpredictable, and Vermonters deserve affordable, reliable options to heat their homes. Act 18, the Affordable Heat Act, which we passed last year does not raise fuel prices, impose a carbon tax, or force anyone to replace their heating systems. It commissioned a study to explore how we can lower energy costs while meeting the state’s emissions goals. No changes will happen until 2025, when the legislature will review the findings and decide whether to proceed, amend, or reject the proposals.

I supported the Affordable Heat Act for this review, but I’m deeply concerned about potential costs, especially for rural Vermonters. Early estimates suggest that fuel prices could rise by $1 to $4 per gallon, which is unsustainable for working families. We need solutions that reduce emissions, but not at the expense of making life unaffordable for Vermonters.

If the proposed Clean Heat Standard drives up costs or puts rural households at risk, I will not support it. Any approach must protect low-income and rural Vermonters and ensure that heating our homes remains affordable while addressing climate challenges.

Race/ DistrictNameTownParty“If elected, will you vote to move forward with implementing the Clean Heat Standard?”If answer Maybe: “What is the maximum price per gallon impact on home heating fuels are you willing to accept as a result of moving forward with the Clean Heat Standard?” Email
Governor
ESTHER CHARLESTINMIDDLEBURYDEM/PROGDid not answerINFO@ESTHERCHARLESTIN.COM
JUNE GOODBANDSPRINGFIELDPEACE AND JUSTICEDid not answerJUNE4GOV@ICLOUD.COM
KEVIN HOYTBENNINGTONINDEPENDENTDid not answerKEVINHOYT2022@GMAIL.COM
ELI “POA” MUTINOBARRE CITYINDEPENDENTDid not answerPOA@POAMUTINOFORVERMONT.COM
PHIL SCOTTBERLINREPUBLICANDid not answerPHIL@PHILSCOTT.ORG
Lt. Governor
IAN DIAMONDSTONEPUTNEYPEACE AND JUSTICENoLIBERTYUNIONPRESS@GMAIL.COM
JOHN S. RODGERSGLOVERREPUBLICANNoJOHN_RODGERS65@ICLOUD.COM
DAVID ZUCKERMANHINESBURGPROG/DEMDid not answerNICK@ZUCKERMANFORVT.COM
State Senate
ADD 1CHRISTOPHER BRAYBRISTOLDEMOCRATICDid not answerCOMMOMGROUND@MADRIVER.COM
ADD 1LANDEL JAMES COCHRANHUNTINGTONREPUBLICANNoLANDEL@LANDELVT.COM
ADD 1RUTH HARDYMIDDLEBURYDEMOCRATICDid not answerRUTHFORVERMONT@GMAIL.COM
ADD 1STEVEN HEFFERNANBRISTOLREPUBLICANNoSTEVENFORVTSENATE@GMAIL.COM
BEN 1STEVE BERRYMANCHESTERINDEPENDENTDid not answerDRSTEVEBERRY@ICLOUD.COM
BEN 1SETH BONGARTZMANCHESTERDEMOCRATICDid not answer
BEN 1CYNTHIA BROWNINGARLINGTONINDEPENDENTDid not answerCYNTHIA@CYNTHIABROWNING.COM
BEN 1JOSEPH “JOE” GERVAISARLINGTONREPUBLICANNoZeroJOE@GERVAISFORVERMONT.COM
BEN 1ROB PLUNKETTBENNINGTONDEMOCRATICDid not answerROBPLUNKETTFORSTATESENATE@GMAIL.COM
BEN 1LAWRENCE “SPIKE” WHITMIRESHAFTSBURYINDEPENDENTNoSPIKEWHITMIREVT@YAHOO.COM
CAL 1SCOTT BECKSAINT JOHNSBURYREPUBLICANDid not answerSCOTTBECK7@GMAIL.COM
CAL 1AMANDA COCHRANESAINT JOHNSBURYDEMOCRATICDid not answerCOCHRANEFORVERMONT@GMAIL.COM
CHI CT 1PHIL BARUTHBURLINGTONDEM/PROGDid not answerBARUTHSENATE18@GMAIL.COM
CHI CT 1MARTINE LAROCQUE GULICKBURLINGTONDEMOCRATICDid not answerMARTINE@MARTINELAROCQUEGULICK.COM
CHI CT 1TANYA VYHOVSKYESSEX TOWNPROG/DEMDid not answerTANYA@TANYAVFORVT.COM
CHI N 1CHRIS MATTOSMILTONREPUBLICANDid not answerCHRIS.MATTOSVT@GMAIL.COM
CHI N 1IRENE WRENNERESSEX TOWNDEMOCRATICNoIRENE@WRENNER4SENATE.ORG
CHI SE 1THOMAS CHITTENDENSOUTH BURLINGTONDEMOCRATICMaybeI would support a maximum increase proportional to quarterly average price relative a rolling three (or five year) average price with an inverted ratio making the amount collected less when the price is above average and more when the price is below the rolling average (to emulate a smoothing affect relative to pricing fluctuations). But if you want a more straight forward answer I’d say a 20 cent max when prices are low and a 5 cent max when prices are high (with a graduated scale determined by current pricing relative to a rolling average).THOMAS.CHITTENDEN@GMAIL.COM
CHI SE 1TAYLOR CRAVENSHELBURNEINDEPENDENTDid not answerTRCRAVENBUSINESS@GMAIL.COM
CHI SE 1KESHA RAM HINSDALESHELBURNEDEMOCRATICDid not answerKRH@KESHAFORVERMONT.COM
CHI SE 1VIRGINIA “GINNY” LYONSWILLISTONDEMOCRATICDid not answerSENATORGINNYLYONS@GMAIL.COM
CHI SE 1BRUCE ROYWILLISTONREPUBLICANNoROY4VT@GMAIL.COM
ESX 1RUSS INGALLSNEWPORT CITYREPUBLICANDid not answerRINGALLS@YMAIL.COM
FRA 1RANDY BROCKSWANTONREP/DEMNoRANDY@RANDYBROCK.COM
FRA 1ROBERT W. NORRISSHELDONREP/DEMI voted against the clean heat standard originally and would have to see the final product before making a firm vote. I am not in favor of raising the price no matter how little it may beRNORRIS@LEG.STATE.VT.US
GI 1PAT BRENNANCOLCHESTERREPUBLICANNoPBRENNAN@LEG.STATE.VT.US
GI 1ANDY JULOWNORTH HERODEMOCRATICDid not answerAJULOW@LEG.STATE.VT.US
LAM 1MAUREEN A. HECKHYDE PARKINDEPENDENTNoMAUREENANNHECK@GMAIL.COM
LAM 1RICHARD A. WESTMANCAMBRIDGEREP/DEMDid not answerRAWESTMAN@GMAIL.COM
ORA 1LARRY HART SRTOPSHAMREPUBLICANNoLARRYHARTVTSENATE@GMAIL.COM
ORA 1MARK A. MACDONALDWILLIAMSTOWNDEMOCRATICDid not answerSENATORMARK@AOL.COM
ORL 1SAMUEL A. DOUGLASSTROYREPUBLICANNoCONTACT@DOUGLASSFORVT.COM
ORL 1KATHERINE SIMSCRAFTSBURYDEMOCRATICNoKATHERINE@SIMSFORVERMONT.COM
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RUT 1ROBERT J. RICHARDSFAIR HAVENDEMOCRATICDid not answerBRICHARDS2355@GMAIL.COM
RUT 1DAVID WEEKSPROCTORREPUBLICANNoI voted against S18 in the 2023-2024 legislative session.DAVEINVT1976@GMAIL.COM
RUT 1TERRY K. WILLIAMSPOULTNEYREPUBLICANDid not answerTERRYFORSENATE3@GMAIL.COM
WAS 1ANN CUMMINGSMONTPELIERDEMOCRATICDid not answerSENATORANNCUMMINGS@GMAIL.COM
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State Rep
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ADD 3MATT BIRONGVERGENNESDEMOCRATICDid not answerMATT@MATTBIRONG.COM
ADD 3DIANE LANPHERVERGENNESDEMOCRATICDid not answerDIANELANPHER@HOTMAIL.COM
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ADD 4MARI CORDESBRISTOLDEMOCRATICDid not answerMARI.VERMONT@GMAIL.COM
ADD 4CHANIN HILLBRISTOLREPUBLICANNoI do not support this bill in anyway.CHILL@GMAVT.NET
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CHI 6KATE LALLEYSHELBURNEDEMOCRATICDid not answerKLALLEY@LEG.STATE.VT.US
CHI 6DEB MAYFIELDSHELBURNEREPUBLICANDid not answer
CHI 7SHAWN SWEENEYSHELBURNEDEMOCRATICDid not answerSHAWNFORHOUSEREP@GMAIL.COM
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CHI FRAHENRY A. BONGES IIIMILTONDEMOCRATICDid not answerHENRY.CAMPAIGN.VT@GMAIL.COM
CHI FRAANTHONY “TONY” MICKLUSMILTONREPUBLICANDid not answerTONY@TONYFORMILTON.COM
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CHI FRACHRIS TAYLORMILTONREPUBLICANNoCHRISTAYLORVT@GMAIL.COM
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ESX ORLLARRY LABORMORGANREPUBLICANNoVermonters can not afford an additional tax on a necessityLLABOR247@OUTLOOK.COM
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FRA 8CASEY TOOFSAINT ALBANS TOWNREPUBLICANNo$0.00 – I will not vote to place any further burdens on working Vermonters to heat their homes. Everyone should be answering $0 especially after the Legislature voted to increase property taxes so high this year.
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WAS 2EUGENE BIFANOWARRENCOMMON SENSENoZeroE.BIFANO@MADRIVER.COM
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WAS 6MARC MIHALYCALAISDEMOCRATICYesCost only applies to those who don’t take advantage of the incentives to install clean heat or weatherize. That cost cold be less than 20 cents per gallon, if that.MMIHALY@LEG.STATE.VT.US
WAS CHIJONATHAN GRIFFINWATERBURYREPUBLICANNoJONATHAN.GRIFFIN11@GMAIL.COM
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WAS ORAMELISSA BATTAHBARRE TOWNDEMOCRATICMaybeI would need to hear the results from the study that is currently being conducted before making any decisions. What I am committed to is ensuring that Vermonters have access to affordable heating solutions of their own choice.MELISSAFORBARRETOWN@GMAIL.COM
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